Accurate forecasting with Collective Intelligence

When your models fall short, when you data is scarce or no longer relevant, crowd forecasting can help.

Tame uncertainty and get an edge over the competition with our crowd prediction platforms and our panels of champion forecasters.

Gain up to 30 %
forecast accuracy

Outperform traditional methods 70 % of the time

Schedule a 30mn demo
Our Prediction Contests
Prescience forecasts Covid-19 daily deaths France
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Johns Hopkins Center Health Security Hypermind
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Our Solutions for your Collective Intelligence

Hypermind Prescience

Quantitative forecasts for
your strategic issues

Our crowd forecasting platform - sometimes called a "prediction market" - consolidates the informed guesswork of crowds into hard probabilities, for actionable insights and smart decisions

Hypermind Storm

Generate and prioritize your team's best ideas

Our crowd ideation platform helps you
generate, prioritize and identify
your most most promising ideas and align your team on what's important

Consult our panel of champion forecasters

Our international panel of champion forecasters generate reliable quantitative insights to anticipate anything from election outcomes, to sales volumes, and disease outbreaks

Our track record of accurate forecasts

Our evidence based prediction method

Designed from a decade of scientific collaborations with IARPA, University of Pennsylvania, and Johns Hopkins University, our Prescience forecasting platform uses the most advanced algorithms to optimize collective forecasts for reliable insights.

Each data point in this graph answers the question:

« What is the proportion of events forecasted with probability p that actually occurred? »

Reality aligns itself to the market’s predictions, meaning
Hypermind can reliably tell you the probability of any event, from elections, to GDP, to sales volumes and more.

Our accuracy on 500 000+ forecasts

Hypermind prediction market calibration graph

537,640

probability forecasts

1185

possible answers

400

forecasts on geopolitics, business, and economics

Great Forecasting with Collective Intelligence

Think like champion forecasters - See the future more clearly - Learn how collective intelligence can help you predict the future

Materclass Great Forecasting with Collective Intelligence Emile Servan-Schreiber

20 years of research in a 4 part Masterclass

What our clients say about us

"Crowd-sourced forecasting can help to predict disease trends and allow public health and policymakers time to prepare and respond to an unfolding outbreak."
Dr. Tara SellSenior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security
Dr. Tara Sell
“The process created a breakthrough in cross-company thinking, collaboration and alignment that has produced actionable innovation and strong support for our Synergy Initiative.”
Global Marketing Leader
“The competitive forecasts, coupled with those from other models and market intelligence data, provide a valuable input in defining the commercial policy in the coming quarters.”
Senior Manager of Market Intelligence
“We couldn’t have involved hundreds of our members from around the country any other way. As a result of their participation, the support for our new strategy has been exceptional. And the trove of information generated by the project keeps generating dividends and sparking creativity around here.”
Executive Director
“It would have taken us many months to gather and prioritize this much information otherwise. Participants were enthusiastic and the executive team had strong buy-in to the resulting strategic initiatives. It was a very successful project.”
Senior Vice president, Marketing & Business Transformation
“The team is very customer-oriented and is able to listen to me and translate my thoughts and requests into tangible results. They are very responsive; they have consistently flexed and adapted to any new parameters and ideas that I may bring to them.”
Manager, Global Customer Solutions
“First-rate quality in both consulting and software.”
Principal Software Programmer
“We have been trying to find different ways to inspire our young scientists and engineers to come up with new ideas … This project allowed us to energize this workforce.”
Deputy Director, Innovation & Rapid Reaction
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Tara Sell testimonial Congress Hypermind crowd forecasting infectious disease

Testifying to the power of crowd forecasting in the U.S. Congress

Public Health expert Dr. Tara Kirk Sell, testifies before Congress on how crowd-forecasting helps predict the onset and spread of infectious diseases such as Covid-19.

Jacob Steinhardt Future of AI forecasting contest

Forecasting the future of AI

Hypermind invites you to participate in a grand forecasting contest on the evolution of artificial intelligence with a $30,000 prize over four years

Founder's note

The surest way for a company to spark its ingenuity is less about blindly entrusting providential, over educated, visionary, or ultra-performing individuals and more about harnessing the tacit collective intelligence of collaborators and clients.

Emile Servan-Schreiber

Not satisfied with your current forecasting method ? Let's chat.

Our tried and tested crowd forecasting has helped strategy and innovation departments around the world get a clearer view of their future.

We reduce your uncertainty, so you can make better decisions.

We forecast sales volumes, election outcomes, a product’s chances of commercial success, all the way to disease outbreaks and the future of AI.

Schedule a 30mn demo

Why we use collective intelligence

Collective intelligence is most useful when we seek to predict the success of a new product, to pursue a new market, a new distribution channel, or when a familiar market is suddenly disrupted.

Emile Servan-Schreiber

Knowledge is distributed

Nobody knows everything, but everybody knows something.
Our forecasting and ideation tools help you gather this precious data and make sense of it.

cognitive diversity bonus

Unexpected solutions

Our tools tap into the knowledge of many and leverage their cognitive diversity for a more complete understanding of complex issues.
This means more chances of a breakthrough.

Accurate and fast results

Our prediction markets can produce reliable forecasts in days.
Our Storm ideation platform works live or asynchronously for results in a matter of hours.