Crowd beats top public health experts on Covid-19 forecasting contest

When you need to forecast a complex issue, most people’s first inclination is to ask a domain expert. But is this really a good idea? Evidence from forecasting tournaments in the geopolitical domain has shown that expertise is poorly correlated with forecasting accuracy. Expertise can blind as much as it can enlighten Expertise can blind...
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Who can predict the evolution of artificial intelligence?

Hypermind invites you to participate in a grand forecasting contest on the evolution of artificial intelligence with a $30,000 prize over four years  Participate The last decade has revealed the possibility of artificial intelligence. Whether it’s driving cars, analyzing X-rays, recognizing faces, playing a game of Go, translating text, or composing a melody, machines have become world champions....
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Crowd-Forecasting Consequences of America’s 2020 Choice

We are challenging our champion forecasters to predict some long-term consequences of the 2020 US presidential election.
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Hypermind launches the Prescience 2020 Challenge

Faced with unprecedented market uncertainty, our clients turn to the Hypermind panel's collective-intelligence forecasts.
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Pandemic Impacts: a prediction market with educational intent

Prof. Scott Page at U. Michigan partners with us to create a prediction market for online classes.
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Advancing Hybrid Geopolitical Forecasting

As key contributors to IARPA's Hybrid Forecasting Competition, we are helping push the limits of forecasting.
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Can Hypermind predict the future?

Our prediction market produced half a million forecasts over 5 years. How accurate were they?
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UM6P School of Collective Intelligence

Hypermind helps launch a new graduate school of collective intelligence at UM6P, in partnership with MIT, NYU, and ENS.
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Making Europe smart again

Recent scientific discoveries about collective intelligence could help make Europe smart again. Here’s how.
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