When you need to forecast a complex issue, most people’s first inclination is to ask a domain expert. But is this really a good idea? Evidence from forecasting tournaments in the geopolitical domain has shown that expertise is poorly correlated with forecasting accuracy. Expertise can blind as much as it can enlighten Expertise can blind...Read More
Hypermind invites you to participate in a grand forecasting contest on the evolution of artificial intelligence with a $30,000 prize over four years Participate The last decade has revealed the possibility of artificial intelligence. Whether it’s driving cars, analyzing X-rays, recognizing faces, playing a game of Go, translating text, or composing a melody, machines have become world champions....Read More
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