Better predictions fuel better decisions. By consolidating the informed guesswork of your employees, partners or customers into hard probabilities, prediction markets let you trade uncertainty for collective wisdom and actionable insights.
Benefiting from a decade of scientific collaborations with IARPA, University of Pennsylvania, and Johns Hopkins University, our Prescience platform incorporates the most advanced algorithms to optimize robust collective forecasts.
Playful yet powerful, intuitive and richly customizable, Prescience pleases forecasters as much as the analysts who access and focus their collective wisdom via multiple dashboards.
SOLUTIONS TAILORED TO YOUR NEEDS:
Full service solution
Do you need a full-support solution with a dedicated project manager? Our experts assist you throughout the process, from defining the forecasting questions to operating the prediction tournament, configuring aggregators and dashboards, analyzing the data and delivering insights.
Do you prefer autonomy and control? We’ll train you and your team to fully exploit all features of the platform.
Prescience is delivered in SaaS mode, but can also be installed on your servers, for long-term rental or sale.
Improving the quality of geopolitical forecasts is part of the core mission of the CIA and other United States intelligence agencies. That’s why the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) funds large-scale research into crowd-based forecasting. From 2012 to 2015, Hypermind Lab’s experts in prediction markets were recruited into IARPA’s ACE research program by a team led by Philip Tetlock (University of Pennsylvania) and Don Moore (UC Berkeley). According to Jason Matheny, ACE program manager and later IARPA Director, this research led to “the largest improvement in judgmental forecasting accuracy observed in the literature.”
In 2017, IARPA launched another multi-year research program called Hybrid Forecasting Competition (HFC) aimed at understanding how to best combine human and computer forecasting abilities. Hypermind Lab’s scientists and developers are again at the forefront of that essential research, as part of a team led by Raytheon BBN Laboratories.