Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security

Crowd beats top public health experts on Covid-19 forecasting contest

When you need to forecast a complex issue, most people’s first inclination is to ask a domain expert. But is this really a good idea? Evidence from forecasting tournaments in the geopolitical domain has shown that expertise is poorly correlated with forecasting accuracy. Expertise can blind as much as it can enlighten Expertise can blind...
Read More

To learn more or schedule a demo. We’ll answer any question you have.