The collective intelligence of hundreds of champion forecasters 

Usage & Benefits


Why ask for a second opinion when you can aggregate hundreds?

Our forecasters are curious, informed, grounded in reality and rewarded solely on the basis of their performance. The rich diversity of their points of view brings a world of uncertainty into focus. 

We consolidate their informed guesses to deliver decision-relevant forecasts on the questions you care about. Our algorithms result from collaborative research with UC Berkeley, MIT, and the University of Pennsylvania on behalf of U.S. intelligence agencies.

By combining the various insights of a multitude of minds, collective intelligence produces reliable and dynamic forecasts, even on complex topics that are difficult to model. When AI and statistical models lack the massive amounts of structured data they need to make predictions, that's when crowd forecasting  really gets going.

An exceptional track record of accuracy since 2014