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Usage & Benefits
Quantify and monitor important risks or opportunities in your environment:
Reliable probabilities
Insightful narratives
Enhance your risk models with the real-time collective intelligence of champion forecasters.
Vet the assumptions behind your model-based forecasts.
Services
Access a daily feed of dozens of predictions about electoral, geopolitical, economic and scientific questions listed on Hypermind’s prediction market populated by hundreds of vetted champion forecasters.
Submit your own forecasting questions to the panel of champion forecasters and access its predictions in real time.
Add your own forecasters to the prediction market for internal competition or comparison with Hypermind’s champions.
Our team helps you formulate proper forecasting questions and design a forecasting contest that optimizes forecast elicitation and incentives.
Choose from a rich variety of question types and reward schemes optimized for short-term, long-term, or deep-time forecasting.
Why ask for a second opinion when you can aggregate hundreds?
Our forecasters are curious, informed, grounded in reality and rewarded solely on the basis of their performance. The rich diversity of their points of view brings a world of uncertainty into focus.
We consolidate their informed guesses to deliver decision-relevant forecasts on the questions you care about. Our algorithms result from collaborative research with UC Berkeley, MIT, and the University of Pennsylvania on behalf of U.S. intelligence agencies.
By combining the various insights of a multitude of minds, collective intelligence produces reliable and dynamic forecasts, even on complex topics that are difficult to model. When AI and statistical models lack the massive amounts of structured data they need to make predictions, that's when crowd forecasting really gets going.
An exceptional track record of accuracy since 2014
Deliverables
The collective predictive power of hundreds of vetted champion forecasters + your own forecasters (optional).
Your own questions posed to the champion panel either anonymously or in a branded contest.
Daily feed of collective forecasts on dozens of global risks listed on Hypermind’s prediction market.
Explainable forecasts accessible through online dashboards, API feeds, and PDF reports of the predictions and their curated rationales.
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