Reasoned probabilities powered by collective intelligence

Usage & Benefits


Two main modes of forecast elicitation and aggregation

AI-powered curation and synthesis of forecast rationales reveals the story behind the quantitative crowd prediction


Available types of forecasting questions 

Prescience lets you formulate your forecasting questions in many different ways. 

This gives you the flexibility to ask exactly the questions that you want, and to get answers in the format that you need.


Discrete Winner-Take-All

Ordered Winner-Take-All



Forecast elicitation and scoring modes

Any of the question types may be combined with various elicitation and scoring modes, depending on your requirements for ground truth and forecasting horizon.

Fixed Ground Truth

Rolling Ground Truth

Drip Rewards

Bayesian Inferential Truth